NOAA's 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook

Here's the picture:

Compare that to where crops are grown.

And consider that this is probably a particularly sensitive time in the growing season.

This makes me more bullish on commodity prices than the current drought map does:


  1. will be interesting to see how yields/temperatures/drought develop this year. Also, are we now starting to see a bubble in farm land prices..

    Regards and hope you are well!

  2. Michael,

    I would also like to add, that this is a serious issue. As you have made me aware, with your comments, a small drop in production may seem like academic exercise to some in the U.S.; however, in many areas around the world, a decrease in crop yields from climate change is devastating. Also, so far, the Midwestern U.S., has not been severely impacted by climate change…yet.

    Also, I wanted to mention, the American Society of Agronomy, Crop Science Society of America, and Soil Science Society of America recently issued a joint statement on climate change:

    The Crop Science Society of America has issued a separate Crop Adaptation to Climate Change statement here:

    Best regards,


    James Giese
    Director of Science Communications
    American Society of Agronomy
    Crop Science Society of America
    Soil Science Society of America * *


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