Tuesday, August 10, 2010

Yes, we're looking more like Japan every day

Deflation here we come.  I'm glad I moved to long-term treasuries:

At today's close:

U.S. Treasuries:

3-Year:   0.79
5-Year:   1.45
7-Year:   2.13
10-Year:  2.76
30-Year:  4.01

I think the only way to stop this slide is extremely aggressive monetary and/or fiscal policy.  I don't think that's going to happen.

So, how low will rates go?

My armchair guess is that 10-year treasuries will fall below 2.0 percent before this is over.  But I really don't know.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Renewable energy not as costly as some think

The other day Marshall and Sol took on Bjorn Lomborg for ignoring the benefits of curbing greenhouse gas emissions.  Indeed.  But Bjorn, am...